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“A small p-value indicates it’s improbable that the results are due to chance...

. There’s something about “Principle 2” in the ASA document on p-values that I couldn’t address in my brief commentary, but is worth examining more closely. 2. P-values do not measure (a) the...

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A. Spanos: Talking back to the critics using error statistics

. Given all the recent attention given to kvetching about significance tests, it’s an apt time to reblog Aris Spanos’ overview of the error statistician talking back to the critics [1]. A related paper...

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Fallacies of Rejection, Nouvelle Cuisine, and assorted New Monsters

Jackie Mason Whenever I’m in London, my criminologist friend Katrin H. and I go in search of stand-up comedy. Since it’s Saturday night (and I’m in London), we’re setting out in search of a good comedy...

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Some statistical dirty laundry: have the stains become permanent?

. Right after our session at the SPSP meeting last Friday, I chaired a symposium on replication that included Brian Earp–an active player in replication research in psychology (Replication and...

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If you think it’s a scandal to be without statistical falsification, you will...

. 1. PhilSci and StatSci. I’m always glad to come across statistical practitioners who wax philosophical, particularly when Karl Popper is cited. Best of all is when they get the philosophy somewhere...

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Gigerenzer at the PSA: “How Fisher, Neyman-Pearson, & Bayes Were Transformed...

. Gerd Gigerenzer, Andrew Gelman, Clark Glymour and I took part in a very interesting symposium on Philosophy of Statistics at the Philosophy of Science Association last Friday. I jotted down lots of...

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Thieme on the theme of lowering p-value thresholds (for Slate)

. Here’s an article by Nick Thieme on the same theme as my last blogpost. Thieme, who is Slate’s 2017 AAAS Mass Media Fellow, is the first person to interview me on p-values who (a) was prepared to...

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Statistical skepticism: How to use significance tests effectively: 7...

Here are my slides from the ASA Symposium on Statistical Inference : “A World Beyond p < .05”  in the session, “What are the best uses for P-values?”. (Aside from me,our session included Yoav...

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Why significance testers should reject the argument to “redefine statistical...

. An argument that assumes the very thing that was to have been argued for is guilty of begging the question; signing on to an argument whose conclusion you favor even though you cannot defend its...

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Neyman-Pearson Tests: An Episode in Anglo-Polish Collaboration: Excerpt from...

Neyman & Pearson 3.2 N-P Tests: An Episode in Anglo-Polish Collaboration* We proceed by setting up a specific hypothesis to test, H0 in Neyman’s and my terminology, the null hypothesis in R. A....

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Don’t let the tail wag the dog by being overly influenced by flawed...

. An article [i],“There is Still a Place for Significance Testing in Clinical Trials,” appearing recently in Clinical Trials, while very short, effectively responds to recent efforts to stop error...

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Memory Lane (4 years ago): Why significance testers should reject the...

. An argument that assumes the very thing that was to have been argued for is guilty of begging the question; signing on to an argument whose conclusion you favor even though you cannot defend its...

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The Statistics Wars and Intellectual Conflicts of Interest

. My editorial in Conservation Biology is published (open access): “The Statistical Wars and Intellectual Conflicts of Interest”. Share your comments, here and/or send a separate item (to Error), if...

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Kent Staley: Commentary on “The statistics wars and intellectual conflicts of...

. Kent Staley Professor Department of Philosophy Saint Louis University   Commentary on “The statistics wars and intellectual conflicts of interest” (Mayo editorial) In her recent Editorial for...

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Power howlers return as criticisms of severity

Mayo bangs head Suppose you are reading about a statistically significant result x that just reaches a threshold p-value α from a test T+ of the mean of a Normal distribution  H0: µ ≤  0 against H1: µ...

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5-year review: Don’t let the tail wag the dog by being overly influenced by...

. On June 1, 2019, I posted portions of an article [i],“There is Still a Place for Significance Testing in Clinical Trials,” in Clinical Trials responding to the 2019 call to abandon significance. I...

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